As Jay Cost from RCP examines in the link below; Barack doesn't have a history of being a solid closer. Most elections tighten in the polls at the end. Jay uses 2000 as an example where Gore covered 5.5 points in the final week. McCain can do this despite the long odds. He can't afford any other mistakes.

RE: the EC maps. RCP currently is showing a 286-155 BO lead with 97 as toss ups. McCain needs to hold all of the tossups and turn VA and CO or NM. Or turn CO And NM and not VA.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/horseraceblog/2008/10/the_state_of_the_race_1.htmlSigning off...JCB
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