"It is the common fate of the indolent to see their rights become a prey to the active. The condition upon which God hath given liberty to man is eternal vigilance; which condition if he break, servitude is at once the consequence of his crime and the punishment of his guilt." -- JP Curran, 1790

Wednesday, November 5, 2008

How did this happen?

For those asking themselves this morning, "How did this happen?" here is what the numbers say.

Despite what the Obama camp would like you to believe, for the most part the electoral demographics have NOT changed dramatically.

Some slight changes:
  • Turn-out in aggregate was up
  • Black turnout was up only a few percentage points.
  • First time voter turn-out
  • Young (-30)

As expected, Obama won the -30 and McCain the +55.

Remember the historical aspect of this election. This was Barack's election to lose.

  • 8 years of a party in the White House
  • President with low approval ratings
  • Congressional control with low approval ratings
  • Financial crisis which favors Democrats
  • Competitive primary with HRC that energized and engaged the base
  • A stratified GOP

The only thing working against him was his inexperience vs. large national security issues. His job was reassuring voters that he was competent and safe as Commander in Chief. Apparently, he did that.

Given all of this, it is amazing how well McCain actually did!

It was sad to see McCain walk off the stage last night. He is a true American. He has given more than most to the country he loves. The right man, the wrong time.

Today starts the revival of the conservative movement. The pendulum will swing back. In 1984 and 1994 the Dems were all but written off as a national party. The GOP will take some lumps and re-build. I'll be talking more in the future about our new leadership, the direction of conservatives, and the role of the opposition party.

Keep your head up!

Signing off...JCB

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1 comment:

I believe in the 1st Amendment. Say whatever you want. If you're a moron, I may point that out...if I have time. :P

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