Republicans are racist!

This tired old Democrat argument has worn thin with most free-thinking people, but there are still some pretty dumb voters out there! Georgia Democrat John Lewis threw out this little gem according to CNN today when talking about the McCain/Palin ticket:

"George Wallace never threw a bomb. He never fired a gun, but he created the climate and the conditions that encouraged vicious attacks against innocent Americans who were simply trying to exercise their constitutional rights. Because of this atmosphere of hate, four little girls were killed on Sunday morning when a church was bombed in Birmingham, Alabama."

Liberal media pundits criticized the McCain/Palin campaign for actually bringing up a true fact about Sen. Obama's association with a known domestic terrorist, yet they still see fit to print this kind of garbage from Rep. Lewis. McCain's crime is being Conservative. Rep. Lewis, you're really reaching now, but at the same time you're showing your party's true inner thought processes.

Democrats are for freedom of speech, as long as they agree with it. They are for freedom of religion, as long as it's not Christianity, and they are for human rights, as long as you're old enough to speak up and vote or be exploited for political gain...if you're a baby born after a botched abortion, the concepts of 'human' rights do not apply as far as the libs are concerned.

Lincoln was a Republican, liberal boneheads. Wallace was a Southern DEMOCRAT.


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EC Average - Bradley Effect = Tie?!

Bradley Effect: A negative variance between poll numbers and actual voting for a minority candidate. Attributed to LA Mayor Tom Bradley who lost his bid for CA Governor in 1982 despite being ahead in most polls.

Most liberals would attribute this to racist whites, but that is hardly the whole story. My opinion is that guilt and apathy are the real forces at play. Guilt in that when you ask someone in a public setting (i.e. survey, interview) they psychologically avoid racial landmines. When in reality they may not favor that candidate for practical-issues related reasons. Obama will likely see a lot of this, people feeling like they have a moral/historical obligation to put the first minority in the Executive. Apathy can be attributed to the voting habits of many of Obama's core constituencies; youth, blacks, trendy liberals. Every election we hear about how the youth vote is expected to be strong, and they usually disappoint. The trendy liberals are those who support liberal causes in breath only. These are the people who are swayed in their vote based on Matt Damon's opinion.

Obama does have core constituencies that have higher turnouts; Hispanics & blue collar union members. But McCain trumps these with key groups that consistently have the highest voter turn-outs; elderly & those who attend some form of religious worship regularly.

So since even the liberal political analysts are predicting a +2-3% error in polls vs. voting based on race I figured I'd apply that to the current EC averages.

This first graphic is the EC Avg. map from RealClearPolitics from 10/2:

This next graphic is adjusted to give McCain a +3% in state-by-state averages:

The result is a 269-269 tie! So if the Bradley Effect holds true, this race is a lot closer than it may appear.

Remember this, people vote out of fear and love. Fear and then Love.

Signing off....JCB

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