"It is the common fate of the indolent to see their rights become a prey to the active. The condition upon which God hath given liberty to man is eternal vigilance; which condition if he break, servitude is at once the consequence of his crime and the punishment of his guilt." -- JP Curran, 1790

Showing posts with label Detroit. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Detroit. Show all posts

Friday, December 12, 2008

What is Bush thinking?

President Bush is considering using a portion of the $700B approved Bailout money to help the Big 3. Unbelievable!!

As Republican (and a few Democrats) Senators prepared to reject the bill passed by the House, after the UAW rejected the terms proposed by the GOP Senate Leadership. To my understanding, the approved bailout passed by the House included language that would require the UAW wages to be renegotiated to be more in-line with the other (profitable) U.S. auto-manufacturers. GOP Senators wanted a timetable to ensure that the agreement would take place within a reasonable time, the UAW response... No Way! Heisman! Bye-bye.

Well, if that isn't an indicator of their commitment to fundamental change required in the terms of the bailout agreement, what else? They obviously wanted to appear willing to consider change but would fight any concessions, that's the Union mentality. Commitment without accountability is an open door to subversion.

Of course, we get the usual attempt to vilify the GOP as Union killers. The GOP Senators need to sell the reason why they are opposing this, lack of accountability and commitment to correcting the problems.

Meanwhile, the President is hinting at working to pacify the inept? Huh? Why? If he thinks that helping the auto-makers & unions will be remembered positively, wrong! If he thinks that taking this action will help the economy and the perception that he helped bring us out of this downturn, wrong! Barack will get all of that credit.

Don't do it Mr. President. GM and Chrysler need Chapter 11.

Signing off...JCB Sphere: Related Content

Wednesday, December 10, 2008

Democrats using good old Bait & Switch tactics

For anyone who thinks that these bailouts will not nationalize in some way the private banking, auto, mortgage, etc. industries, think again!

As we hear calls for more "bailouts" to save these uncompetitive companies, we simultaneously hear Democrats clamoring for greater "oversight" of the issuing of the bailout money. It has even been suggested that we need a Car Czar.

Now I'm with all of you, there should be accountability for how the money is spent and who receives it. But I fear that the Republicans are oblivious to the bait & switch tactics at play. The Democrats are appealing to the reasonable conscience when requesting greater oversight. However, this power can be manipulated and abused.

Take the idea of a Car Czar:
  • Where does his or her authority end?
  • Is it solely in the administration of the money or does it extend to efficiency standards, labor contracts, product placement, green technology, etc.?
  • Even if limited to the money, what are the contractual terms governing issuance?
  • Can the Car Czar withhold bailout money from a car company that isn't meeting fuel efficiency targets or meeting union benefit demands?
  • Can the Car Czar set precedent across the entire U.S. auto-manufacturing industry or is he or she limited to the Big 3 under the Bailout agreement?
  • Can the Car Czar impose on other auto-manufacturers the uncompetitive labor requirements that the Big 3 have subjected themselves to?
  • Does the Car Czar have authority over import tariffs on foreign owned auto-manufacturers?
These are all questions that need to be asked when Democrats invoke oversight privileges. This may not be a revolution, but the slow coalescing of control over market independence. Government oversight in the hands of ideological soldiers spawns into nationalized control of industry, that's Socialism. It is up to those who oppose this future to keep them in check, challenge their expansion of power, and educate the public on the subversive goals of their actions.

Signing off...JCB Sphere: Related Content

Tuesday, November 18, 2008

Let the Detroit 3 go Chapter 11, ASAP!!

The final test for this "lame duck" congress comes this week with the push to bailout the Big 3 U.S. auto-makers (GM, Ford, and Chrysler). I urge those in congress to vote NO.

The Democratic leadership is pushing to appropriate $25B of the approved $700B bailout for these auto-makers. It is not a bailout for the auto-makers but rather a Christmas present for the United Auto Workers (UAW) union. $25B will cover roughly 4-5 months of operating expenses and will not change their unprofitable ways. In Spring they will be back with their hands out or worse, fail regardless of the bailout and/or layoff many of its workers.

The GOP congress and President Bush have offered a compromise position, re-purpose the already approved $25B from moneys allocated to re-tool and development of hybrid vehicles into a no strings attached loan. Democrats have turned this down, and I say don't offer that up either. At most offer an extension of unemployment benefits and re-training credits to the workers if they are laid off as part of any Chapter 11 filing or actions.

The U.S. auto-makers have a defunct business model which has been propped up by their lobbying efforts. They are paying almost double in overhead operating cost per worker than the "foreign" owned auto-makers operating in the South. Their concessions to the UAW in the 1950s forward have sealed their fate.

They need to fail and go into Chapter 11 bankruptcy. That will allow them to re-negotiate union contracts, restructure, sell off failing brands, and change Management. This is what they need. For some reason people think that this will be the end of U.S. made vehicles. WRONG!

Just as the failing airlines had to go through Chapter 11 restructuring, the auto-makers need to do the same. Cars will still be built and warrantied, just as flights continued to fly. Union contracts need to be re-negotiated or eliminated. Using Northwest as a comparison, it went into Chapter 11 and was able to replace its mechanics union, restructure pilot and flight attendant union contracts, create a new fleet strategy, and revamp its routes for cost efficiency. The Big 3 need this same help.

They have tried to vertically and horizontally integrate to invoke "economies of scale" as a business model. But it is a method not a model. They have become to big to handle and change. They cannot innovate rapidly enough because changes are so grand that the only investments that generate positive ROI are the proven existing technologies. To change to a electric hybrid vehicle, they can't simply retool manufacturing. They have to retool the mfg. lines, develop the product, re-engineer the vehicles, source within their own supplier, develop distribution models for the supply chain, not to mention marketing and sales overhead. Oh, and not just for one brand or style of vehicle, but since manufacturing lines have been so inter-woven, the change will need to happen across multiple brands and or vehicles.

They have over supplied the market with cars and therefore people can't afford the prices they need to be profitable given their operating costs. Their perceptions of the demand curve are not in-line with the reality. Demand is lower than the supply they need to be profitable. Demand will drop in this economy. You can't incentivize your way to profitability. Part of the bailout is a $7,500 incentive for buyers of electric hybrids like the brainchild Chevy Volt. Congress is essentially interpreting that demand will not meet the supply curve. Think of it this way, the taxes you pay will help your neighbor buy a new car! Hope you get a ride!

Demand will not go away! There will be a demand for new cars, domestic and foreign made. Sure the foreign owned auto-makers will probably see a market share bump because of this, but there won't not be a U.S. owned auto-maker. They will breakup the conglomerates and form new partnership and establish new profitable business models.

For the companies who supply the Big 3, they will still need your products. Orders may be down and you will have to look at new companies to supply, but if you have the right product at the right price, you will recover.

Regarding the calls that we bailed out the Financial Institutions and Banks; new automobiles are a luxury, credit is essential to market operations. Like the Steel Industries in the 80s, let them roll and re-emerge as a more efficient and profitable industry.

I wonder if G. Richard Wagoner, Jr., Alan Mulally, William Clay Ford Jr., and Robert L. Nardelli are secretly wishing for Chapter 11 so they can finally loosen the iron grip of the UAW.

Signing off...JCB

Update: Romney echoes the needs for the Big 3 to restructure and how the bailout prevents that: http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/19/opinion/19romney.html?_r=1&hp Sphere: Related Content

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